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Yayın Turkish electricity sector: a bottom-up approach(Işık Üniversitesi, 2017-01-17) Tetik, Esin; Sarıca, Kemal; Işık Üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Endüstri Mühendisliği - Yöneylem Araştırması Yüksek Lisans ProgramıThe importance of this study, roots from being the first attempt to model and examine Turkish energy system specific to electricity sector using TIMES modelling methodology to assess the future pathways of the system under various policy options. As a fast-growing country, energy consumption has raised in Turkey due to economic developments by industrialization and urbanization. To meet the increasing demand, significant investments are required in electricity generation technologies. This study responds when to invest and which technologies to invest in a certain time period. To determine future energy technology mix of Turkey, the current system is modeled as reference energy system with a well-balanced and detailed representation of electricity, transportation, industry and residential sectors. Based on reference scenario different policy scenarios has been carried at and compared with equivalent abatement scenarios. While the assessment will be focused on electricity sector such as investment strategies, and price dynamics also interactions with other sectors will also be elaborated. As a result, a primary resource mix, a system-wide cost analysis, investment decisions for particular time period and technologies, potential electricity prices and reections on other industries are generated. Results of proposed scenarios are compared with the reference case.