Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4

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dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.authorid0000-0002-3980-2153
dc.authorid0000-0002-9637-4044
dc.authorid0000-0003-3050-9847
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorTurp, Mustafa Tufanen_US
dc.contributor.authorTürkeş, Muraten_US
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Leventen_US
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-19T09:08:50Z
dc.date.available2018-06-19T09:08:50Z
dc.date.issued2018-07-01
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.description.abstractIn this study, we investigate changes in seasonal temperature and precipitation climatology of CORDEX Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region for three periods of 2010-2040, 2040-2070 and 2070-2100 with respect to the control period of 1970-2000 by using regional climate model simulations. Projections of future climate conditions are modeled by forcing Regional Climate Model, RegCM4.4 of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) with two different CMIP5 global climate models. HadGEM2-ES global climate model of the Met Office Hadley Centre and MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology were used to generate 50 km resolution data for the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) Region 13. We test the seasonal time-scale performance of RegCM4.4 in simulating the observed climatology over domain of the MENA by using the output of two different global climate models. The projection results show relatively high increase of average temperatures from 3 degrees C up to 9 degrees C over the domain for far future (2070-2100). A strong decrease in precipitation is projected in almost all parts of the domain according to the output of the regional model forced by scenario outputs of two global models. Therefore, warmer and drier than present climate conditions are projected to occur more intensely over the CORDEX-MENA domain.en_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.identifier.citationÖztürk, T., Turp, M. T., Türkeş, M. & Kurnaz, M. L. (2018). Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4. Atmospheric Research, 206, 87-107. doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.009en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.009
dc.identifier.endpage107
dc.identifier.issn0169-8095
dc.identifier.issn1873-2895
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85042741855
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage87
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/1305
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.009
dc.identifier.volume206
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000430765000007
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScience Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)en_US
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherElsevier Science Incen_US
dc.relation.ispartofAtmospheric Researchen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectArid-landsen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectMiddle Easten_US
dc.subjectCentral and North Africaen_US
dc.subjectRegional climate modelingen_US
dc.subjectRegCM4.4en_US
dc.subjectProjectionsen_US
dc.subjectNorth-Atlantic oscillationen_US
dc.subjectMediterranean regionen_US
dc.subjectInterannual variabilityen_US
dc.subjectMineral aerosolsen_US
dc.subjectExtreme eventsen_US
dc.subjectMiddle-Easten_US
dc.subjectModelen_US
dc.subjectSimulationsen_US
dc.subjectScenariosen_US
dc.subjectTrendsen_US
dc.titleFuture projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dspace.entity.typePublication

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