Projections for changes in natural and technical snow reliability of a major Turkish ski resort by using RegCM4.3.5

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dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.authorid0000-0001-7012-4111
dc.authorid0000-0002-3980-2153
dc.authorid0000-0002-9637-4044
dc.authorid0000-0003-3050-9847
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorDemiroğlu, Osman Cenken_US
dc.contributor.authorTurp, Mustafa Tufanen_US
dc.contributor.authorTürkeş, Muraten_US
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Leventen_US
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-26T07:03:06Z
dc.date.available2026-02-26T07:03:06Z
dc.date.issued2014-05-02
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.description.abstractClimate change has been and increasingly will be a major threat to the ski tourism industry whose survival is highly dependent on existence of snow cover of sufficient depth and duration. The common knowledge requires that in order for a ski resort to be viable, it has to perform operations for at least 100 days in seven out of ten winters. For this matter, it is now even more usual for the ski resorts to adapt to this issue by technical snowmaking. In this study, projected future changes for the period of 2010-2040, 2040-2070, and 2070-2100 in air temperature, relative humidity, and snow depth climatology and variability with respect to the control period of 1970-2000 were assessed for the domain of a major ski resort in Turkey. Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.3.5) of ICTP (International Centre for Theoretical Physics) was used for projections of future and present climate conditions. HadGEM2 global climate model of the Met Office Hadley Centre, MPI-ESM-MR of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, GFDL-ESM2M of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory were downscaled to 10 km for the resort and its surrounding region. Both the projections and the downscaling were realized according to the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 emission scenarios of the IPCC. The outputs on snow depth were used for a count of the changes on snow cover duration sufficient for skiing actitivies, signaling natural snow-reliability, whereas the outputs on air temperature and relative humidity were utilized for determination of wet-bulb temperatures. The latter measure was used to interpret the changes in the snowmaking capacity, in other words; technical snow-reliability, of the resort.en_US
dc.identifier.citationÖztürk, T., Demiroğlu, O. C., Turp, M. T., Türkeş, M. & Kurnaz, M. L. (2014). Projections for changes in natural and technical snow reliability of a major Turkish ski resort by using RegCM4.3.5. Paper presented at the EGU General Assembly 2015.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/7065
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherEuropean Geosciences Union (EGU)en_US
dc.relation.ispartofEGU General Assembly 2015en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryKonferans Öğesi - Uluslararası - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.titleProjections for changes in natural and technical snow reliability of a major Turkish ski resort by using RegCM4.3.5en_US
dc.typeConference Objecten_US
dspace.entity.typePublicationen_US

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