Impact of climate change on natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacities, and wind conditions of ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: a dynamical downscaling approach

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dc.authorid0000-0002-7814-4464
dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.authorid0000-0003-3050-9847
dc.contributor.authorDemiroğlu, Osman Cenken_US
dc.contributor.authorTurp, Mustafa Tufanen_US
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Leventen_US
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-26T12:25:35Z
dc.date.available2016-07-26T12:25:35Z
dc.date.issued2016-04
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.description.abstractMany ski resorts worldwide are going through deteriorating snow cover conditions due to anthropogenic warming trends. As the natural and the artificially supported, i.e., technical, snow reliability of ski resorts diminish, the industry approaches a deadlock. For this reason, impact assessment studies have become vital for understanding vulnerability of ski tourism. This study considers three resorts at one of the rapidly emerging ski destinations, Northeast Turkey, for snow reliability analyses. Initially one global circulation model is dynamically downscaled by using the regional climate model RegCM4.4 for 1971-2000 and 2021-2050 periods along the RCP4.5 greenhouse gas concentration pathway. Next, the projected climate outputs are converted into indicators of natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacity, and wind conditions. The results show an overall decline in the frequencies of naturally snow reliable days and snowmaking capacities between the two periods. Despite the decrease, only the lower altitudes of one ski resort would face the risk of losing natural snow reliability and snowmaking could still compensate for forming the base layer before the critical New Year's week. On the other hand, adverse high wind conditions improve as to reduce the number of lift closure days at all resorts. Overall, this particular region seems to be relatively resilient against climate change.en_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.identifier.citationDemiroğlu, O., Turp, M., Öztürk, T. & Kurnaz, M. (2016). Impact of climate change on natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacities, and wind conditions of ski resorts in northeast Turkey: A dynamical downscaling approach.Atmosphere, 7(4), 1-12. doi:10.3390/atmos7040052en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/atmos7040052
dc.identifier.endpage12
dc.identifier.issn2073-4433
dc.identifier.issue4
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84965170958
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/1043
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos7040052
dc.identifier.volume7
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000375211200004
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScience Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakSocial Sciences Citation Index (SSCI)en_US
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherMdpi Agen_US
dc.relation.ispartofAtmosphereen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectRegCM4.4en_US
dc.subjectSnow reliabilityen_US
dc.subjectSnowmakingen_US
dc.subjectSki tourismen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.subjectWestern United-Statesen_US
dc.subjectInterannual variabilityen_US
dc.subjectModel descriptionen_US
dc.subjectWinter tourismen_US
dc.subjectSwiss alpsen_US
dc.subjectIndustryen_US
dc.subjectVulnerabilityen_US
dc.subjectSimulationsen_US
dc.subjectWeatheren_US
dc.subjectSchemeen_US
dc.subjectChange vulnerabilityen_US
dc.subjectModelen_US
dc.subjectConsumptionen_US
dc.subjectConvectionen_US
dc.titleImpact of climate change on natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacities, and wind conditions of ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: a dynamical downscaling approachen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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