Impacts of climate change on precipitation climatology and variability in Turkey

dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596en_US
dc.contributor.authorTürkeş, Muraten_US
dc.contributor.authorTurp, M. Tufanen_US
dc.contributor.authorAn, Nazanen_US
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKurnaz, Mehmet Leventen_US
dc.date.accessioned2020-02-17T03:31:37Z
dc.date.available2020-02-17T03:31:37Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.description.abstractIn this chapter, changes in seasonal precipitation climatology, extreme weather conditions, and aridity conditions of Turkey are evaluated for the period of 2021-2050 with respect to the reference period of 1971-2000 by using regional climate model simulations. Projections of future climate conditions are modeled by forcing Regional Climate Model, RegCM4.4 of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) with MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. The outputs of MPI-ESM-MR are used to generate 10 km resolution data by the double nesting method under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios. The seasonal time-scale performance of RegCM4.4 in reproducing the observed climatology over Turkey is tested by using the output of the global climate model. The projection results show a strong decrease in precipitation for almost all parts of the domain according to the output of the regional model. The intensity of drought conditions is projected to increase. According to the projection results, more arid conditions are expected in the region for the near future. Therefore, drier than present climate conditions are projected to occur more intensely over Turkey.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipWorld Water Resourcesen_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.identifier.citationTürkeş, M., Turp, M. T., An, N., Öztürk, T. & Kurnaz, M. L. (2020). Impacts of Climate Change on Precipitation Climatology and Variability in Turkey. Water Resources Of Turkey, 2, 467-491. doi:10.1007/978-3-030-11729-0_14en_US
dc.identifier.endpage491
dc.identifier.isbn9783030117290
dc.identifier.isbn9783030117283
dc.identifier.issn2509-7385en_US
dc.identifier.issn2509-7393en_US
dc.identifier.startpage467
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/2241
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-11729-0_14
dc.identifier.volume2
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000487756200017en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/Aen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakBook Citation Index – Social Sciences & Humanities (BKCI-SSH)en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakBook Citation Index – Science (BKCI-S)en_US
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherSpringer International Publishing Agen_US
dc.relation.ispartofWater Resources Of Turkeyen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryKitap Bölümü - Uluslararasıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectAridity indexen_US
dc.subjectAridity in Turkeyen_US
dc.subjectAsiaen_US
dc.subjectClimate change impactsen_US
dc.subjectClimate modelingen_US
dc.subjectExtremesen_US
dc.subjectInterannual variabilityen_US
dc.subjectMediterranean precipitationen_US
dc.subjectPrecipitation extremesen_US
dc.subjectProjectionsen_US
dc.subjectRegionen_US
dc.subjectSchemeen_US
dc.subjectSimulationen_US
dc.subjectTemperatureen_US
dc.titleImpacts of climate change on precipitation climatology and variability in Turkeyen_US
dc.typeBook Chapteren_US

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