Projected future changes in extreme climate indices over Central Asia using RegCM4.3.5

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dc.authorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.contributor.authorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-07-14T10:41:30Z
dc.date.available2023-07-14T10:41:30Z
dc.date.issued2023-06
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, Mühendislik ve Doğa Bilimleri Fakültesi, Fizik Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Department of Physicsen_US
dc.description.abstractThis work projected future extreme climate indices' changes over Central Asia (The Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-CORDEX Region 8). Changes were calculated for 2071-2100 relative to 1971-2000. Climate simulations were obtained by downscaling the RegCM4.3.5 to 50 km resolution under RCP4.5 and 8.5 with HadGEM2-ES and MPI-ESM-MR. The results indicate that the Central Asian domain will experience warmer and more extreme temperatures with increasing radiative forcing. The annual lowest value of minimum daily temperature was simulated to increase remarkably, up to 8 degrees, especially in high latitudes, with a more than 12 degree increase projected over Siberia. A strong growth in the percentage of warm nights and an increase in the days of warm spells for the whole region, with a decrease in cold spell duration, are anticipated. Model results show an expected reduction of up to 30% in precipitation totals over the domain, except for the increased precipitation over Siberia, the Himalayas, and Tibetan Plateau. Extreme precipitation events are projected to have an increase of 20% over the whole domain, with an 80% increase over high topographical areas.en_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.identifier.citationÖztürk, T. (2023). Projected future changes in extreme climate indices over Central Asia using RegCM4.3.5. Atmosphere, 14(6), 1-18. doi:10.3390/atmos14060939en_US
dc.identifier.endpage18
dc.identifier.issn2073-4433
dc.identifier.issue6
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/5621
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos14060939
dc.identifier.volume14
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001014066400001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScience Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)en_US
dc.institutionauthorÖztürk, Tuğbaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-8598-8596
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.relation.ispartofAtmosphereen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectRegCM435en_US
dc.subjectCORDEX Region 8en_US
dc.subjectCentral Asiaen_US
dc.subjectClimate extreme indicesen_US
dc.subjectPrecipitation climatologyen_US
dc.subjectTemperatureen_US
dc.subjectSimulationen_US
dc.subjectEnsembleen_US
dc.titleProjected future changes in extreme climate indices over Central Asia using RegCM4.3.5en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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