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Yayın Quaternary uplift of the northern margin of the Central Anatolian Plateau: New OSL dates of fluvial and delta-terrace deposits of the Kizilirmak River, Black Sea coast, Turkey(Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2018-12-01) Berndt, Christopher; Yıldırım, Cengiz; Çiner, Tahsin Attila; Strecker, Manfred R.; Ertunç, Gülgün; Sarıkaya, Mehmet Akif; Özcan, Orkan; Öztürk, Tuğba; Güneç Kıyak, NafiyeWe analysed the interplay between coastal uplift, sea level change in the Black Sea, and incision of the Kizilirmak River in northern Turkey. These processes have created multiple co-genetic fluvial and marine terrace sequences that serve as excellent strain markers to assess the ongoing evolution of the Pontide orogenic wedge and the growth of the northern margin of the Central Anatolian Plateau. We used high-resolution topographic data, OSL ages, and published information on past sea levels to analyse the spatiotemporal evolution of these terraces; we derived a regional uplift model for the northward advancing orogenic wedge that supports the notion of laterally variable uplift rates along the flanks of the Pontides. The best-fit uplift model defines a constant long-term uplift rate of 0.28 +/- 0.07 m/ka for the last 545 ka. This model explains the evolution of the terrace sequence in light of active tectonic processes and superposed cycles of climate-controlled sea-level change. Our new data reveal regional uplift characteristics that are comparable to the inner sectors of the Central Pontides; accordingly, the rate of uplift diminishes with increasing distance from the main strand of the restraining bend of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ). This spatial relationship between the regional impact of the restraining bend of the NAFZ and uplift of the Pontide wedge thus suggests a strong link between the activity of the NAFZ, deformation and uplift in the Pontide orogenic wedge, and the sustained lateral growth of the Central Anatolian Plateau flank.Yayın RegCM4.3.5 Bölgesel iklim modelini kullanarak Türkiye ve çevresi bölgelerin yakın gelecekteki hava sıcaklığı ve yağış klimatolojileri için öngörülen değişikliklerin incelenmesi(Ege Üniversitesi, 2014-06-01) Turp, Mustafa Tufan; Öztürk, Tuğba; Türkeş, Murat; Kurnaz, Mehmet LeventBu çalışmada 1970 – 2000 referans dönemi iklimine göre 2020 – 2050 dönemi için Türkiye’nin ortalama hava sıcaklığı ve yağış klimatolojilerinde öngörülen değişiklikler, bölgesel iklim modeli benzetimleri kullanılarak araştırıldı. Yakın gelecekteki iklim koşullarında öngörülen değişimleri incelemek için Uluslararası Teorik Fizik Merkezi’ne ait olan RegCM4.3.5 isimli bölgesel iklim modeli üç farklı küresel modelden yararlanılarak koşuldu. Max Planck Meteoroloji Enstitüsü’ne ait MPI-ESM-MR, Met Office Hadley Merkezi’ne ait HadGEM2 ve Amerikan Ulusal Okyanus ve Atmosfer Dairesi Jeofiziksel Akışkanlar Dinamiği Laboratuvarı’na ait GFDL-ESM2M modelleri Türkiye ve çevresi için dinamik olarak 50 km’ye alt ölçeklendirildi. Öngörüler, Hükümetlerarası İklim Değişikliği Paneli’nin (IPCC) RCP4.5 ve RCP8.5 salım senaryolarına göre gerçekleştirildi. Model sonuçlarına göre, Türkiye’de ortalama hava sıcaklıklarında 1970 – 2000 dönemine göre 2020 – 2050 döneminde 0.5 °C ile 4 °C arasında değişen artışlar olacaktır. Bu artış, sıcak mevsimlerde soğuk mevsimlere göre daha fazla olacaktır. Türkiye’nin yağış klimatolojisinde ise, bölgesel iklim modeli sonuçlarına göre, özellikle ülkenin Akdeniz ikliminin egemen olduğu batı ve güney bölgelerinde ve tüm mevsimlerde, yaklaşık 0.4 mm/gün ile 1.2 mm/gün arasında değişen belirgin yağış azalışlarının oluşması beklenir.Yayın Cement fabrics and optical luminescence ages of beachrock, North Cyprus: Implications for Holocene sea-level changes(Elsevier Ltd., 2016-05-16) Öztürk, Muhammed Zeynel; Erginal, Ahmet Evren; Güneç Kıyak, Nafiye; Öztürk, TuğbaCaCO3-cemented beachrocks are widely found along the northern coast of Cyprus. In this study, we aim to discuss the cementation history of beachrocks at ten particular sites within the context of Holocene sea-level changes. Cement fabrics, petrographic and geochemical characteristics, and optically-stimulated luminescence ages of buried quartz grains were studied. The seaward-inclined (~5-10°) parallel-stratified beds are composed mostly of sandstone alternating with conglomerate. Ooids, benthic and planktic foraminifera, bioclasts of red algae, echinoid spines and gastropods make up a significant proportion of the cemented beds. With CaCO3 content ranging between 37% and 65%, poorly-sorted grains are bonded by four distinct cements: circumgranular micritic coatings, sparry calcite infillings, pore fills, and meniscus bridges. This consecutive nature of cementation is typical of a marine phreatic and meteoric vadose environment when the sea level was lower than present but had a tendency to increase during middle to late Holocene. OSL ages ranging from 5.4 ka to 0.38 ka indicate that the deposition and ensuing cementation of the quartz grains occurred during two main stages; younger beds dated between 2.3 ka and 0.38 ka and older beds from 2.3 ka to 5.4 ka. A period devoid of beachrock formation was attested between 3.5 ka and 2.3 ka.Yayın RegCM4.3.5 İklim modeli benzetimleri kullanılarak Türkiye'nin gelecek hava sıcaklığı ve yağış klimatolojilerindeki değişikliklerin çözümlenmesi(Ege Üniversitesi, 2011-06-01) Öztürk, Tuğba; Türkeş, Murat; Kurnaz, Mehmet LeventBu çalışmada 1970-2000 dönemi günümüz iklimine göre 2070-2100 dönemi için Türkiye’nin ortalama hava sıcaklığı ve yağış klimatolojilerindeki değişikler, bölgesel iklim modeli simülasyonları (benzetim) kullanılarak öngörüldü. Günümüz ve gelecek iklim koşullarının model kestirimlerinin yapılması için, International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) bölgesel iklim modeli RegCM4.3.5 kullanıldı. Met Office Hadley Merkezi’nin HadGEM2 küresel iklim modeli, Türkiye ve çevresi için alt ölçeklendirme yöntemi ile çalışıldı. Gelecekte Türkiye’nin iklim değişkenlerinde oluşacak değişimleri incelemek için, küresel iklim modelinin RCP4.5 ve RCP8.5 salım senaryoları çıktıları kullanıldı. Model çıktılarına göre, Türkiye’de ortalama hava sıcaklıklarında 3 °C ile 7 °C arasında değişen artışlar olacaktır. Sıcaklık artışı, sıcak mevsimlerde soğuk mevsimlere göre daha fazla olacaktır. Bölgesel iklim modeli sonuçlarına göre, Türkiye’nin yağış klimatolojisinde ise, –0.8 mm/gün ile 1.2 mm/gün arasında değişen değişimler beklenmektedir.Yayın Projections of climate change in the Mediterranean Basin by using downscaled global climate model outputs(Wiley-Blackwell, 2015-11-30) Öztürk, Tuğba; Ceber, Zeynep Pelin; Türkeş, Murat; Kurnaz, Mehmet LeventThe Mediterranean Basin is one of the regions that shall be affected most by the impacts of the future climate changes on hydrology and water resources. In this study, projected future changes in mean air temperature and precipitation climatology and inter-annual variability over the Mediterranean region were studied. For performing this aim, the future changes in annual and seasonal averages for the future period of 2070-2100 with respect to the period from 1970 to 2000 were investigated. Global climate model outputs of the World Climate Research Program's Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 multi-model dataset were used in this work. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change SRES A2, A1B and B1 emission scenarios' outputs were used in future climate model projections. Future surface mean air temperatures of the larger Mediterranean basin increase mostly in summer and least in winter, and precipitation amounts decrease in all seasons at almost all parts of the basin. Future climate signals for air temperature and total precipitation values are much larger than the inter-model standard deviation. Inter-annual temperature variability increases evidently in summer season and decreases in the northern part of the domain in the winter season, while precipitation variability increases in almost all parts of domain. Probability distribution functions are found to be shifted and flattened for future period compared to the reference period. This indicates that the occurrence of frequency and intensity of high temperatures and heavy precipitation events will likely increase in the future period.Yayın Eolianite and coquinite as evidence of MIS 6 and 5, NW Black Sea coast, Turkey(Elsevier B.V., 2017-04) Erginal, Ahmet Evren; Güneç Kıyak, Nafiye; Selim, Hamit Haluk; Bozcu, Mustafa; Öztürk, Muhammed Zeynel; Ekinci, Yunus Levent; Demirci, Alper; Elmas, Elmas Kırcı; Öztürk, Tuğba; Çakır, Çağlar; Karabıyıkoğlu, MustafaThis paper discusses the implications of a lowstand carbonate eolianite and overlying transgressive sequence of coquinite at Şile on the Turkish Black Sea coast based on composition, depositional characteristics and optical age estimations. The cross-bedded eolianite is a mixed ooid quartz grainstone in composition, yielding a depositional age matching MIS 6. It formed at the backshore of the paleobeach with the supply of sediment the from the beach face and offering insights into the drift of mixed shallow marine carbonates and siliciclastics together with radial ooids by onshore winds from a subaerially exposed high- to low-energy ooid shoals and oolitic sand complexes which developed parallel to the shoreline on the shallow shelf margin. During this lowstand, a low-relief dune retaining a record of opposing paleowind directions than that of prevalent northeasterly winds of today appears to have been lithified to form dune rock (aeolinite) under drier conditions compared to the present. Coinciding with MIS 5e, shallow marine coquina beds resting unconformably on the eolianite indicate the occurrence of the Mediterranean transgression during the last interglacial, as confirmed by benthic foraminifera within the high-salinity tolerant coquina shells.Yayın Impact of climate change on natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacities, and wind conditions of ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: a dynamical downscaling approach(Mdpi Ag, 2016-04) Demiroğlu, Osman Cenk; Turp, Mustafa Tufan; Öztürk, Tuğba; Kurnaz, Mehmet LeventMany ski resorts worldwide are going through deteriorating snow cover conditions due to anthropogenic warming trends. As the natural and the artificially supported, i.e., technical, snow reliability of ski resorts diminish, the industry approaches a deadlock. For this reason, impact assessment studies have become vital for understanding vulnerability of ski tourism. This study considers three resorts at one of the rapidly emerging ski destinations, Northeast Turkey, for snow reliability analyses. Initially one global circulation model is dynamically downscaled by using the regional climate model RegCM4.4 for 1971-2000 and 2021-2050 periods along the RCP4.5 greenhouse gas concentration pathway. Next, the projected climate outputs are converted into indicators of natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacity, and wind conditions. The results show an overall decline in the frequencies of naturally snow reliable days and snowmaking capacities between the two periods. Despite the decrease, only the lower altitudes of one ski resort would face the risk of losing natural snow reliability and snowmaking could still compensate for forming the base layer before the critical New Year's week. On the other hand, adverse high wind conditions improve as to reduce the number of lift closure days at all resorts. Overall, this particular region seems to be relatively resilient against climate change.Yayın Quaternary rock uplift rates and their implications for the western flank of the North Anatolian Fault restraining bend; inferences from fluvial terrace ages(Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 2020-10-01) McClain, Kevin P.; Yıldırım, Cengiz; Ciner, Attila; Şahin, Sefa; Sarıkaya, Mehmet Akif; Özcan, Orkan; Güneç Kıyak, Nafiye; Öztürk, TuğbaIn the western flank of the North Anatolian Fault restraining bend (i.e., Central Pontides), the Filyos River incises through the uplifting Karabük Range, creating the ~1.7-km-deep Filyos River Gorge on the hanging wall of the reverse Karabük Fault. Seven fluvial strath terrace levels are preserved in this gorge. optically stimulated luminescence ages from quartz-rich sediments of five terrace levels reveal an average long-term rock uplift rate of 0.45 ± 0.02 mm yr?1 with an unsteady pattern of uplift during the last 542 ± 24 kyr. Uplift rates of 1.52 ± 0.6 and 0.74 ± 0.3 mm yr?1 occurred before 366 ± 19 kyr, followed by lower rates of ~0.1 and 0.31 mm yr?1 through present. These later uplift rates may reflect relatively slower tectonic rates since ~366 kyr, with closer similarity to regional uplift rates of ~0.3 mm yr?1 yielded from the eastern flank of the Central Pontides. The Karabük Range fluvial terraces are near the North Anatolian Fault, meaning pre- ~366 kyr uplift rates may be a glimpse of the highest Central Pontides Quaternary rock uplift rates on uplifting hanging wall blocks activated by the restraining bend. When we consider offshore seismic reflection data, the focal mechanism solution of the Bartın Earthquake, onshore structural data, and regional tectonic geomorphology, the western flank of the Central Anatolian Plateau's northern margin is propagating northward as a growing orogenic wedge with a positive flower-structure geometry.Yayın River, alluvial fan and landslide interactions in a tributary junction setting: Implications for tectonic controls on Quaternary fluvial landscape development (Central Anatolian Plateau northern margin, Turkey)(Elsevier B.V., 2021-03-01) McClain, Kevin P.; Yıldırım, Cengiz; Çiner, Tahsin Attila; Sarıkaya, M. Akif; Özcan, Orkan; Görüm, Tolga; Köse, Oğuzhan; Şahin, Sefa; Güneç Kıyak, Nafiye; Öztürk, TuğbaAlong the western flank of the northern margin (Central Pontides) of the Central Anatolian Plateau, the humidity from the Black Sea is much higher than the central and eastern flanks and creates a complex relationship between surface and tectonic processes by triggering intense mass wasting activity and aggradation within narrow valleys. We identified three incised fill terrace levels and used Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) dating to calculate fluvial sediment ages and cosmogenic 36Cl exposure dating to calculate limestone boulders exposure ages across the terrace surface. Stratigraphical interpretations and OSL ages of the lowest levels revealed that a fluvial fill terrace formed in the main valley at 275.6 ± 12.8 ka and was overlain by a main river-tributary junction alluvial fan that was abandoned at 39.5 ± 3.5 ka. The results collectively show the influence of climate, topography, hillslope processes, and lithology on aggradation-incision patterns of main rivers. Prolonged aggradation can prevent the channel equilibrium required to calculate rock uplift rates while also causing a new base-level and aggradation upstream. This effect can be exacerbated in uplifting mountainous regions with limited depositional areas. Bedrock incision rates based on the fluvial terrace age were between 0.15 and 0.2 mm/a since 39.5 ± 3.5 ka. However, the high aggradation within this segment of the main valley prevented incision of the channel bedrock for long periods, causing a potential underestimation of the rock uplift rate calculation. Our local period of aggradation appears to be related to increased aggradation and decreased bedrock incision rates measured 14 km upstream that were previously assumed to be the result of decreased tectonic uplift rates. This demonstrates the importance of corroborating strath terrace incision rate estimations with ages and incision rates of downstream fill terraces, if present, to check for potential interference with the tectonic signal.Yayın Tectonic and climatic controls on Quaternary fluvial processes and river terrace formation in a Mediterranean setting, the Goksu River, southern Turkey(Cambridge University Press, 2019-03) Avşin Görendağlı, Nurcan; Vandenberghe, Jef; Van Balen, Ronald; Güneç Kıyak, Nafiye; Öztürk, TuğbaClimate and tectonics effect the fluvial evolution of the Mediterranean Mut basin. The basin contains a river terrace staircase of 16 levels (T16-T1) ranging from 365 to 10m above the current Goksu River in its middle and lower sections. These river terraces records tectonic uplift in the Mut basin. Optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating of the fluvial sediments of the youngest terrace (T16) provides a chronology for the assessment of the important impacts of climatic changes. The ages from the youngest river terrace deposits in T16 may be subdivided into two intervals: (1) 239-194.7 ka during the later part of Marine Oxygen Isotope Stage (MIS) 7, implying that the aggradation of T16 started in (the final phase of) this warm period; and (2) 187.9-171 ka during much of MIS 6. Thus, it appears that the Goksu River continued depositing sediment from an interglacial into a glacial time. The differences in climate-driven fluvial evolution between this Mediterranean fluvial system and the classical, well-studied temperate-periglacial river systems in Europe may be the result of different vegetation cover and greater thaw of more intense snowfalls.
