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Yayın Multivariate statistical tests for comparing classification algorithms(Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2011) Yıldız, Olcay Taner; Aslan, Özlem; Alpaydın, Ahmet İbrahim EthemThe misclassification error which is usually used in tests to compare classification algorithms, does not make a distinction between the sources of error, namely, false positives and false negatives. Instead of summing these in a single number, we propose to collect multivariate statistics and use multivariate tests on them. Information retrieval uses the measures of precision and recall, and signal detection uses true positive rate (tpr) and false positive rate (fpr) and a multivariate test can also use such two values instead of combining them in a single value, such as error or average precision. For example, we can have bivariate tests for (precision, recall) or (tpr, fpr). We propose to use the pairwise test based on Hotelling's multivariate T test to compare two algorithms or multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) to compare L > 2 algorithms. In our experiments, we show that the multivariate tests have higher power than the univariate error test, that is, they can detect differences that the error test cannot, and we also discuss how the decisions made by different multivariate tests differ, to be able to point out where to use which. We also show how multivariate or univariate pairwise tests can be used as post-hoc tests after MANOVA to find cliques of algorithms, or order them along separate dimensions.Yayın Bagging soft decision trees(Springer Verlag, 2016) Yıldız, Olcay Taner; İrsoy, Ozan; Alpaydın, Ahmet İbrahim EthemThe decision tree is one of the earliest predictive models in machine learning. In the soft decision tree, based on the hierarchical mixture of experts model, internal binary nodes take soft decisions and choose both children with probabilities given by a sigmoid gating function. Hence for an input, all the paths to all the leaves are traversed and all those leaves contribute to the final decision but with different probabilities, as given by the gating values on the path. Tree induction is incremental and the tree grows when needed by replacing leaves with subtrees and the parameters of the newly-added nodes are learned using gradient-descent. We have previously shown that such soft trees generalize better than hard trees; here, we propose to bag such soft decision trees for higher accuracy. On 27 two-class classification data sets (ten of which are from the medical domain), and 26 regression data sets, we show that the bagged soft trees generalize better than single soft trees and bagged hard trees. This contribution falls in the scope of research track 2 listed in the editorial, namely, machine learning algorithms.
