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Yayın Investment behaviour and risk perception: an analysis for Turkish market(PressAcademia, 2023-07-30) Teker, Dilek; Teker, Suat; Demirel, EsinPurpose- The cognitive comprehension of financial indicators, risk aversion, risk perception, and investment behavior is defined as financial literacy. It's possible that a variety of characteristics, such as gender, age, income level, social standing, education, etc., will affect an investor's behavior. The purpose of this study is to highlight the behavior of investors in Turkish capital markets. The analysis is done on the results of two surveys, the first conducted in the fourth quarter of 2022 and the second in the first quarter of 2023. Methodology- This study's objective is to highlight investor behavior and risk perception in Turkish financial markets. In the most recent two consecutive quarters, the results of two surveys are analyzed and compared. Three sections comprise the surveys. A demographic question is asked in the first section. The second section asks questions concerning investment behavior, signs of financial stress, and confidence in regard to one's financial literacy. The final aspect contributes to the analysis of what people think of the Bitcoin market. In this study, Graphic analysis, Cronbach Alpha, Normality, and Mann-Whitney U tests are performed, respectively. First, the graphical analysis of the selected questions is made. Based on these graphs, the similarities and differences between the surveys are shown. Second, The reliability test is applied to the selected questions for the statistical modeling of the analysis. This test is determined as the Cronbach Alpha test. Third, the Normality test is applied to reveal which test to use in the next step. Two different tests are used for this analysis. These are the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Shapiro-Wilk tests. Fourth, the Mann-Whitney U test is applied. At this stage, firstly, Mann-Whitney U and Wilcoxon W test statistics are examined. The ranks are calculated for each variable. Finally, the Mann-Whitney U test is applied, and the results are interpreted. Fifth, The results of the two surveys are compared. Findings- The findings show both similarities and differences among numerous variables. For instance, holding time is defined as the amount of time an investor holds an investment or as the time between purchasing it and selling it. Investors' risk aversion and financial literacy both influence the holding period. Riskier assets force investors to adjust their purchase or sell actions dynamically. The results show various portfolio diversification behaviours. While men prefer to start with foreign currency investments, women are more interested in making gold investments. Also, middle-aged investors invest more in cryptocurrencies and take more risks than younger investors. Conclusion- based upon the analysis, findings it may be concluded that respondents do differ in their investment preferences and risk-taking over the years. The findings show various portfolio diversification behaviors. While men prefer to invest in foreign currency, women are more interested in purchasing gold.Yayın Investor behavior and risk perception: a gender perspective(International Strategic Management and Managers Association, 2023-12) Teker, Dilek; Teker, Suat; Demirel Gümüştepe, EsinFinancial literacy is explained as the cognitive understanding of financial indicators and risk aversion, risk perception and investor behavior. Perhaps the investor behavior may vary depending on several factors such as gender, age, income level, social status, education etc. This research aims to highlight the effect of gender on financial market perception among Turkish investors. The outputs of two surveys the first for the last quarter of 2022 and the second for the first quarter of 2023, are analysed and compared. Therefore, two consecutive quarters are compared by gender for investment behaviors. This reserach observes some factors such as stress level, portfolio holding times, investment decisions and expectations regarding cryptocurrency markets. The methodology follows the Cronbach Alpha, Kolmogorov-Smirnov and ShapiroWilk Normality, and Mann-Whitney U tests respectively. The findings support gender differences in perception and investment behavior.Yayın Backcasting Bitcoin prices: implementation with ARCH & GARCH models(International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management, 2024-12) Teker, Dilek; Teker, Suat; Demirel Gümüştepe, EsinBitcoin, the first decentralized cryptocurrency, has gained popularity among investors for several reasons. Its potential for high returns makes it attractive to those seeking alternatives to traditional investments. Bitcoin's volatility provides both risk and reward, drawing in speculative investors. Moreover, Bitcoin operates independently of central banks or governments, appealing to those wary of inflation and economic instability. As more businesses and financial institutions adopt Bitcoin as an investment tool and a medium of exchange, its appeal continues to grow. For institutional investors, Bitcoin offers a way to diversify portfolios amid low interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty. However, the volatility in Bitcoin markets tends to be a risk exposure, so developing models to understand Bitcoin fluctuations is crucial to determining more about market behavior. Accurate financial models help predict price movements, manage risk, and identify macroeconomic correlations. Given its complexity, these models are essential for long-term investors to navigate volatility and optimize their investment strategies. This research employs ARCH and GARCH models to forecast Bitcoin volatility. The outputs indicate that ARIMA is the best fit model that explains Bitcoin’s price fluctuations in the selected data period.Yayın The investor behaviour, risk perception and expectations on cryptocurrency markets(Al-Kindi Center for Research and Development, 2023-12-15) Teker, Dilek; Teker, Suat; Demirel, EsinThe financial sector, which has sparked increasing organizational and scientific interest in recent years, plays a vital rolein the Turkish economy. After enduring multiple economic downturns, consumers have become more cautious when considering financial investments, making it challenging for financial institutions to formulate effective marketing strategies. This study aims to shed light on investor behavior in Tukish markets. The results of two surveys are examined: the first conducted in the final quarter of 2022, and the second in the first quarter of 2023. This article delves into various variables, including stress levels, portfolio holding times, investment choices, and attention to cryptocurrency markets. The methodology employs the Mann-Whitney U test, Cronbach's Alpha, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, and Shapiro-Wilk normality tests. The findings from the two surveys are compared. Based on the analysis results, it can be inferred that respondents' investment preferences and risk tolerance have evolved over time. The results demonstrate a spectrum of portfolio diversification tendencies.
