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Yayın The Covid 19 effect on macroeconomic indicators(PressAcademia, 2020-12-31) Deniz, E. Asena; Teker, DilekPurpose- From the moment covid 19 started to spread in the world, its effects began to be seen simultaneously in financial markets and economy.The purpose of this study is to observe Covid 19 effect on EURO/USD,gold ,oil and wheat prices. Methodology- The database includes the Daily prices of EUR/USD, wheat ,gold , brent oil prices and COVİD 19 numbers between the period of 31.12.2019-04.09.2020 which consist of 180 daily data. Natural logaritm for each indicator is used. First, the stationarity of the series were analyzed with ADF (Augmented Dickey Fuller) unit root test. Lag lengths are determined. Interactions between the series were analyzed by theARDL, Impulse- Response Function and Variance Decomposition method. Findings- The series are found out to not to be stationary as a result of Unit root test.After, the lag length criteria using VAR models were checked and this lag length criteria for them were determined as one . According to the ARDL test result, cointegration could not be found between our data. Impulse response graphs indicate that all variables respond in a reducing way to reducing shocks occurred in each indicator. Shocks have lost their effect on average in 2 days. Conclusion- The results indicate that the effect of COVID 19 on EUR/USD , gold , brent oil and wheat prices do not have a strong effect. The results may be beneficial for only literatüre.Yayın Pandeminin tüketici davranışlarına ve kargo sektörüne ekonomik etkileri(PressAcademia, 2020-12-31) Kayıkçıoğlu, Salih; Teker, DilekAmaç- İlk olarak 2019 yılının Aralık ayında Çin’in Wuhan şehrinde ortaya çıkan ve COVID-19 olarak bilinen Koronavirüsün sebep olduğu salgın hastalık, kısa sürede bütün dünyayı sağlık, ekonomi, iş hayatı, sosyal hayat ve eğitim gibi pek çok alanda etkilemiştir. Koronavirüs, halehahazırda hızlı bir dönüşüm yaşamakta olan perakende sektörünü, daha da hızlı bir şekilde sanal ortama kaydırmıştır. Bu dönüşüm sürecinin en önemli aktörleri olarak, e-ticaret ve kargo firmaları görülebilir. Bu çalışma kapsamında, pandemi döneminde değişen tüketici davranışları nedeniyle e-ticarate alan ilginin artması ve bu davranış değişimi sonuçlarının taşınan kargo miktarına yansımalarının incelenmesi açalanmıştır. Yöntem- Bu çalışmada internet kullanımı, e-ticaret hacmi ve kargo sektörüne olan etkileri, Dünya ile karşılaştırmalı olarak analiz edilmiştir. Bulgular- Pandemi süreciyle birlikte, internet kullanıcı sayısı tüm dünya nüfusuna göre %60 seviyesine ulaşırken, 18-44 yaş grubu internet kullanıcılarının %80’nini oluşturmaktadır. Gelişmiş ülkelerde 2015 yılında toplam perakende hacmi için e-ticaretin payı %7.90 iken, bu oran 2019 yılında %12.30’a çıkmıştır. Bu oran Dünya geneli için 2015 yılında %7.40 iken, 2020 yılında %16 ve 2023 yılında %22 olması tahmin edilmektedir.Dünya e-ticaret satış gelirleri 2014 yılında 1.3 trilyon USD ve 2019 yılında 3.5 trilyon USD olarak gerçekleşmiş ve 2023 yılı için 6.5 trilyon USD olarak tahmin edilmektedir. 2019 yılının ilk 6 aylık döneminde yurtiçi e-ticaret satış hacmi 83.3 milyar TL iken, 2020 yılının ilk 6 aylık döneminde 91.7 milyar TL olarak gerçekleşmiştir. Yurtiçi taşınan kargo sayısı, 2019 yılına göre yaklaşık 3 kat katış gösteriken, artan ihtiyacı karşılamak için kargo firmaları önemli sayıda ilave personel istihdam etmiştir. PAndemi döneminde en fazla sipariş verşlen ürünlerin, hijyen ve spor ürünleri olduğu görülmüştür. Sonuç- Kargo yoğunluğu, yeni projeler haricinde yeni anlayışların doğmasına neden olmuştur.Özellikle pandemi süreci firmalara e-ticarete yönelmenin ticari faaliyetlerinin devamlılığı adına hayati öneme sahip olduğunu göstermiş ve firmalar kendi e-ticaret sitelerini kurma yanında belli başlı e-ticaret platformlarının tedarikçisi olma eğilimine girmişlerdir.Sektördeki bu ihtiyacı gören girişimciler (Özellikle kolay bozulabilir market ürünlerinin teslimi konusunda ) yeni yeni modeller geliştirerek gün içinde hatta (20 dakika –30 dakika gibi zaman taahhütleri ile) teslimat modelleri geliştirmişlerdir.Sonuçolarak , içinde bulunulan geçici / kalıcıdurumların , toplumsal olayların yaşam tarzından alışverişalışkanlıklarına kadar tüm süreçleri değiştirebildiği bu durumların ticari zihniyetlere/faaliyetlere yön verebildiği anlaşılmaktadır.Pandeminin olası etkilerinin 2021 yılında da süregeleceği tahmin edilmektedir. Yaşanan dijital dönüşüm, pandemi ile beraber birkaç yıl daha geriye çekilmiş ve hızlanmıştır.Yayın Wealth management trends in the world(PressAcademia, 2020-07-30) Danon, Murat; Teker, SuatPurpose- The purpose of this research is to explore and identify the prevailing trends in the wealth management sector on a global scale. Methodology- As the main aim of the research is to identify the prevailing trends in the wealth management sector on a global scale, we have collected various statistical data sets regarding the various trends that are already established within the sector. Furthermore, we have also carried out interviews with two private bankers, one wealth management executive, and one wealth management client in order to get a substantial amount of insight on where the industry is headed. Findings- The wealth management sector has seen a rapid growth over the course of the last two decades but is being heavily impacted by the COVID-19 crisis. Conclusion- New trends look to impose new rules in the wealth management sector. COVID-19 and the existing economic troubles together may result in a significant slowdown in sectoral growth while a consolidation era for wealth management companies are commonly expected. Meanwhile, a dramatic change in most clients’ mindset and rapid adoption of more technology in the sector helping firms to reduce operational costs are foreseen.Yayın How much wealth Covid-19 cretaed for rich people(PressAcademia, 2021-07-30) Teker, Suat; Danon, MuratPurpose- This research aims to explore the COVID-19 pandemic’s effect on global wealth distribution and wealth accumulation for the rich Methodology- An analytical appproach is employed. The study covers the followings; the pandemic’s timeline and related statistics, the pandemic’s effect on wealthy individuals, the pandemic’s effect on global poverty and the pandemic’s effect on society. Findings- Year 2020 can be considered as a year of global catastrophe. The unemployment rate and poverty have risen while world GDP declined by 4.3%. The previously depicted changes in the pattern of global wealth distribution have and will have numerous repercussions for the World’s social order as shown by a deterioration in the global democracy index of about 2%, s deterioration in the quality of education especially concentrated in less developed countries affecting 1.6 billion students, a rise in food insecurity in the developing world due to poverty and supply chain disruptions, a global decline in human rights especially due to lockdown restrictions, a global decline in gender equality with drastic rises in domestic violence, a global increase in popularity of xenophobic far right movements. Conclusion- Wealth inequality in the world rose drastically during the pandemic. UHNWI and billionaire wealth reached all time high representing a higher percentafe of global GDP than ever. Wealth inequality is forecasted to rise further in the coming years. As inequality increased, major social issues are expected to rise, e.g. democracy is in decline, extremism is on the rise, human rights are in decline, and food security is in decline. As inequality continues to rise, it is expected that social cohesion will continue to deteriorate for the globe. The number of billionaires increased from 2604 in 2018 to 3288 in 2020 while the wealth of billionaires accumulted to 11.4 trillion USD in 2020 from 8.6 trillion USD in 2018. The wealth of 10 richest people increased by 52% in the period of 2019-2020. As a final word, the poor got poorer and rich got richer during the pandemic.Yayın Digital banking during the COVID-19 era in Turkiye(Sivas Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi, 2023-31-12) Oğuz, Ahmet Bünyan; Soykut Sarıca, Yeşim PınarThe Covid-19 pandemic which began in early 2020 in Wuhan, China and spread around the world, created a serious impact on personal and business life for all. While individuals tried to protect themselves from the pandemic and continue their lives, businesses also tried to cope with the change in individual consumer behaviour. This study analyses the digital banking usage trends in Türkiye, focusing on the Covid-19 pandemic period, between January 2020 and June 2022, under the precautions imposed by the government such as lock-downs, curfews and public access limitations to businesses, using available quarterly transaction and usage data on virtual credit cards, mail order and phone payments, contactless cards, domestic credit cards, number of credit and bank cards, digital banking, internet banking and mobile banking. Research findings suggest that while internet and digital banking usage increased, significant changes have been observed in contactless card, virtual credit card transactions indicating a shift in user preference in banking during the pandemic period either voluntarily or with the effects of the restrictions and intention to realize their transactions distancing themselves from the crowds. Further research analysing whether this shift is permanent or not is recommended.Yayın Impact of COVID-19 on people-processing vs. information-processing services: case of food service and banking industries(Springer Nature, 2021) Gül, Mısra Çağla; Kaytaz, MehmetAlthough COVID-19 pandemic is a health crisis, it has and will continue to have serious repercussions on business activities and the global economy, as well as a strong societal impact. This chapter focuses on comparing and contrasting the banking services sector and the food service industry in Turkey in relation to how these industries were impacted by and responded to the crisis caused by COVID-19 pandemic. Banking services are information-processing services and the food service business for the most part is people-processing. The distinction is that informationprocessing services can be provided both face-to-face in a high-contact fashion, and online/through the phone in an untact fashion. People-processing services, however, are mostly high-contact services where the person receiving the service must be present when the service is provided (Lovelock in Journal of Marketing 47: 9–20, 1983). Naturally, this distinction creates a difference in the response of these two different types of services to the COVID-19 crisis. This chapter analyzes the economic and social developments during the COVID-19 outbreak in Turkey along with current and expected future action steps by the government and NGOs. Findings suggest that innovative products, market-linking capabilities and investment in digitalization and trust building activities are effective in dealing with the new normal.
