10 sonuçlar
Arama Sonuçları
Listeleniyor 1 - 10 / 10
Yayın On the sensitivity of desirability functions for multiresponse optimization(American Institute of Mathematical Sciences, 2008-11) Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarDesirability functions have been one of the most important multiresponse optimization technique since the early eighties. Main reasons for this popularity might be counted as the convenience of the implementation of the method and it's availability in many experimental design software packages. Technique itself involves somehow subjective parameters such as the importance coefficients between response characteristics that are used to calculate overall desirability, weights used in determining the shape of each individual response and the size of the specification band of the response. However, the impact of these sensitive parameters on the solution set is mostly uninvestigated. This paper proposes a procedure to analyze the sensitivity of the important characteristic parameters of desirability functions and their impact on pareto-optimal solution set. The proposed procedure uses the experimental design tools on the solution space and estimates a prediction equation on the overall desirability to identify the sensitive parameters. For illustration, a classical desirability example is selected from the literature and results are given along with the discussion.Yayın A DBN based reactive maintenance model for a complex system in thermal power plants(Elsevier Sci Ltd, 2019-10) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, Busenur; Karacaörenli, Ayşe; Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarThermal power plants consist of several complex systems having many interacting hidden components. Any unexpected failure may lead to prolonged downtime and serious lost profits. Therefore, implementing an effective maintenance policy is crucial for this sector. Although preventive maintenance has become a more popular strategy, it does not completely prevent the need for corrective maintenance. Our aim in this study is to tackle the corrective maintenance implementation problem of a multi-component partially observable dynamic system based on a regenerative air heater in a thermal power plant. We propose eight methods having different efficiency measures with respect to time, effect and probability criteria to minimize the total number of maintenance activities in a given planning horizon. Performances of these methods are evaluated under corrective maintenance strategy using dynamic Bayesian networks. The results show that fault effect methods with best working state probability measure perform better than the others considering both the total amount of maintenance activities and also the solution time. We also point out how the methods can be implemented in real-life and how the results can be used for requirements planning. Furthermore, the proposed methods can be used for the corrective maintenance of all systems having hidden interacting components.Yayın A mathematical model for perishable products with price- and displayed-stock-dependent demand(Elsevier Ltd, 2016-12) Önal, Mehmet; Yenipazarlı, Arda; Kundakçıoğlu, Ömer ErhunWe introduce an economic order quantity model that incorporates product assortment, pricing and space-allocation decisions for a group of perishable products. The goal is to maximize the retailer's profit under shelf-space and backroom storage capacity constraints. We assume that the demand rate of a product is a function of the selling prices and the displayed stock levels of all the products in the assortment. We propose a Tabu Search based heuristic method to solve this complex problem.Yayın A stochastic risk-averse framework for blood donation appointment scheduling under uncertain donor arrivals(Springer, 2020-12) Yalçındağ, Semih; Baş Güre, Seda; Carello, Giuliana; Lanzarone, EttoreBlood is a key resource in all health care systems, usually drawn from voluntary donors. We focus on the operations management in blood collection centers, which is a key step to guarantee an adequate blood supply and a good quality of service to donors, by addressing the so-called Blood Donation Appointment Scheduling problem. Its goal is to employ appointment scheduling to balance the production of blood units between days, in order to provide a reasonably constant supply to transfusion centers and hospitals, and reduce non-alignments between physicians' working times and donor arrivals at the collection center. We consider a two-phase solution framework taken from the literature, in which a deterministic linear programming model preallocates time slots to different blood types and a prioritization policy assigns the preallocated slots to the donors when they make a reservation. However, the problem is stochastic in nature and requires consideration of the uncertain arrivals of non-booked donors. In this work, to include the uncertain arrivals, we propose three stochastic counterparts of the preallocation model based on a risk-neutral objective and two risk-averse objectives, respectively, where the Conditional Value-at-Risk is considered as the risk measure in the last two methods. The resulting stochastic frameworks have been tested considering the historical data of one of the largest Italian collection centers, the Milan Department of the "Associazione Volontari Italiani Sangue" (AVIS). Results show the effectiveness of the stochastic models, especially the mean-risk one, and the need to include the uncertainty of arrivals in order to better balance the production of blood units.Yayın Multiresponse optimisation of powder metals via probabilistic loss functions(Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, 2013) Aksezer, Sezgin Çağlar; Benneyan, James C.Quadratic loss functions have been used extensively within the context of quality engineering and experimental design for process and product optimisation and robust design. In general, this approach determines optimal parameter settings based on minimising the sum of individual or mean loss of the associated response(s) of interest in a defined response surface. While the method is neat and handy, it totally neglects the effect of deviations on the desirable value of loss function. This paper utilises variance and probability distribution of loss functions for developing an in depth optimisation scheme that balances mean and variance of loss in a Pareto optimal manner. Since losses are usually defined in financial terms, this model then further improved to handle the user determined risk levels so that financial losses are being restricted within a certain region of interest. Application of the model is illustrated on a multiresponse optimisation problem from powder metallurgy industry.Yayın Simultaneous scheduling of football games and referees using Turkish league data(Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 2017-05) Atan, Sabri Tankut; Hüseyinoğlu, Olgu PelinAssignment decisions of referees to football (soccer) games are highly debated in sports media. Referee assignments are typically done on a weekly basis as the league progresses. However, this practice ignores important workload constraints on referees. Moreover, referees' skill levels should also be considered in determining their assignments. In this article, we first give a mixed integer linear program formulation for the problem of simultaneously generating a game schedule and assigning main referees to games by incorporating specific rules in the Turkish league. We also approach this problem using a genetic algorithm (GA) because of the computational difficulties in solving the problem. In the GA solution pool, we suggest using templates for referee assignments that follow several referee-related workload constraints. We explain how these templates can be obtained by solving a mixed integer linear model prior to running the GA. The usage of these templates for referee assignments is conceptually similar to using a basic match schedule for game scheduling such as the one used in the Turkish Football League. We use the Turkish Football League fixtures for 2010–2013 as a case study. Experiments with the GA using real-world data show a rather modest performance in terms of computation time and objective function value. Our numerical results indicate that the problem is extremely hard to solve.Yayın Probability distributions and variances of quadratic loss functions(2006) Benneyan, James C.; Aksezer, Sezgin ÇağlarThe use of quadratic loss functions has been advocated in quality engineering and experimental design for process optimization and robust design. We derive theoretical density functions and variances for nominal-the-best, smaller-the-better, and larger-the-better quadratic loss functions in general and when the response variable has a specified distribution. While considerable attention has been given to individual and mean loss, in some applications it is of interest also to know something about the loss distribution and variance. Results frequently exhibit high variance and skew and unique density functions in cases for which it is not advisable to base decisions on expected loss alone.Yayın Evaluation of proactive maintenance policies on a stochastically dependent hidden multi-component system using DBNs(Elsevier Ltd, 2021-07) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, BusenurIn complex systems with stochastically dependent components which are not observed directly, determining an effective maintenance policy is a difficult task. In this paper, a dynamic Bayesian network based maintenance decision framework is proposed to evaluate proactive maintenance policies for such systems. Two preventive and one predictive maintenance strategies from a cost perspective are designed for multi-component dependable systems which aim to reduce maintenance cost while increasing system reliability at the same time. Tabu procedure is employed to avoid repetitive similar actions. The performances of the policies are compared with a reactive maintenance strategy and also with each other using different strategy parameters on a real life system confronted in thermal power plants for six different scenarios. The scenarios are designed considering different structures of system dependability and reactive cost. The results show that the threshold based maintenance which is the predictive strategy gives the minimum cost and maintenance number in almost all scenarios.Yayın Optimal project duration for resource leveling(Elsevier Science BV, 2018-04-16) Atan, Sabri Tankut; Eren, ElifResource leveling is important in project management as resource fluctuations are costly and undesired. Typically, schedules with better resource profiles are obtained by shifting the activities within their float times using the schedule of fixed duration found by Critical Path Method. However, if the project duration can be extended, it is plausible to find a schedule with enhanced resource leveling since a longer duration allows for more float time for all activities. In this work, we relax the assumption of fixed durations in resource leveling formulations and investigate what the minimal project duration for the best leveled schedule should be. We provide mixed-integer linear models for several leveling objectives including the Release and Rehire metric. We show that not all metrics used for leveling under fixed durations may be appropriate when the project duration becomes a decision variable. Optimal solutions from smaller problems are used to find the magnitude of the extension needed and benefits obtained thereby. Since the problem is a NP-hard problem for which exact solutions cannot be obtained for large networks in reasonable time, we provide a greedy heuristic to be used with the Release and Rehire metric. Using an iterative framework, we also test the performance of a state-of-the-art heuristic algorithm from the literature on our problem. Computational experiments indicate that the more the number of resources is increased, the less leveling benefits are gained from extending the project. The optimal project durations and extension benefits can also be significantly different for different metrics.Yayın MUNICIPAL: A decision technology for the restoration of critical infrastructures(Institute of Industrial Engineers, 2013) Loggins, Ryan A.; Wallace, William Al; Çavdaroğlu, BurakThis paper describes the decision technology MUNICIPAL (Multi-Network Interdependent Critical Infrastructure Program for the Analysis of Lifelines). This technology supports decision makers in the restoration of critical infrastructure systems after an extreme event. MUNICIPAL consists of four components: a vulnerability simulator which predicts damage to infrastructure components given a specific disaster scenario, an optimization module which produces a restoration plan given a damage scenario, a GIS interface to visualize and manipulate the data, and a database structured to support the data needs and integration of the other three modules. A case study was developed with the emergency management department of New Hanover County, North Carolina, to assess the technology with respect to the impact of a hurricane.
