On the performance of West's bubble test: A simulation approach

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Tarih

2010-12-01

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Yayıncı

Elsevier science inc

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

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Özet

In this research we examine the ability of West's bubble test [1] in detecting speculative bubbles using Brock's (1982) [2] intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset pricing as the basis for a simulation study. In this setting, (1) the economy, by construction is efficient and produces the maximally possible amount of welfare for society, and (2) asset prices reflect the utility-maximizing behavior of consumers and the profit-maximizing behavior of firms. We find that the West's bubble test flag as "bubbles" in the simulated data yet the data is produced from an economy in which markets are efficient in welfare production.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Speculative bubble test, Present value model, Asset pricing, Stock-prices, Intrinsic bubbles, Rational bubbles, Model, Fundamentals, Economy, Too, Costs, Economics, Optimization, Profitability, Testing, Asset prices, Bubble test, General equilibrium models, Present value, Simulated data, Simulation approach, Simulation studies, Computer simulation

Kaynak

Applied Mathematics and Computation

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

217

Sayı

7

Künye

Yüksel, A., Akdeniz, L. & Altay Salih, A. (2010). On the performance of West’s bubble test: A simulation approach. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 217(7), 3236-3247. doi:10.1016/j.amc.2010.08.056