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Yayın Assortment optimization with log-linear demand: application at a Turkish grocery store(Elsevier Ltd, 2019-09) Hekimoğlu, Mustafa; Sevim, İsmail; Aksezer, Sezgin Çağlar; Durmuş, İpekIn retail sector, product variety increases faster than shelf spaces of retail stores where goods are presented to consumers. Hence, assortment planning is an important task for sustained financial success of a retailer in a competitive business environment. In this study, we consider the assortment planning problem of a retailer in Turkey. Using empirical point-of-sale data, a demand model is developed and utilized in the optimization model. Due to nonlinear nature of the model and integrality constraint, we find that it is difficult to obtain a solution even for moderately large product sets. We propose a greedy heuristic approach that generates better results than the mixed integer nonlinear programming in a reasonably shorter period of time for medium and large problem sizes. We also proved that our method has a worst-case time complexity of O(n 2 )while other two well-known heuristics’ complexities are O(n 3 )and O(n 4 ). Also numerical experiments reveal that our method has a better performance than the worst-case as it generates better results in a much shorter run-times compared to other methods.Yayın Sensitivity analysis for models with multiple behavior modes: a method based on behavior pattern measures(2016-12) Hekimoğlu, Mustafa; Barlas, YamanSensitivity analysis of system dynamics models is essentially about sensitivity of patterns of output behaviors to inputs, since system dynamics modeling is behavior pattern oriented. In this study, a regression-based procedure for pattern sensitivity analysis is developed, by defining behavior pattern measures such as equilibrium level, trend, inflection point, or oscillation amplitude. A unique feature of the procedure is that it takes into account the possibility of a model generating multiple behavior modes. This pattern-oriented procedure is next applied to the tipping point project management model and a generic supply line model. These test applications yield sensitivity results that are meaningful, and also consistent with previously available sensitivity information about the parameters of these models. Finally, our pattern sensitivity analysis is shown to be a useful and effective method also for oscillatory system dynamics models, an unsolved sensitivity problem previously in the literature.Yayın Modeling repair demand in existence of a nonstationary installed base(Elsevier B.V., 2023-09) Hekimoğlu, Mustafa; Karlı, DenizLife cycles of products consist of 3 phases, namely growth, maturity, and decline phases. Modeling repair demand is particularly difficult in the growth and decline stages due to nonstationarity. In this study, we suggest respective stochastic models that capture the dynamics of repair demand in these two phases. We apply our theory to two different operations management problems. First, using the moments of spare parts demand, we suggest an algorithm that selects a parametric distribution from the hypergeometric family (Ord, 1967) for each period in time. We utilize the algorithm in a single echelon inventory control problem. Second, we focus on investment decisions of Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to extend economic lifetimes of products with technology upgrades. Our results indicate that the second moment is sufficient for growing customer bases, whereas using the third moment doubles the approximation quality of theoretical distributions for a declining customer base. From a cost minimization perspective, using higher moments of demand leads to savings up to 13.6% compared to the single-moment approach. Also, we characterize the optimal investment policy for lifetime extension decisions from risk-neutral and risk-averse perspectives. We find that there exists a critical level of investment cost and installed base size for profitability of lifetime extension for OEMs. From a managerial point of view, we find that a risk-neutral decision maker finds the lifetime extension problem profitable. In contrast, even a slight risk aversion can make the lifetime extension decision economically undesirable.Yayın Optimization of wastewater treatment systems for growing industrial parks(Elsevier B.V., 2023-12-20) Savun Hekimoğlu, Başak; İşler, Zülal; Hekimoğlu, Mustafa; Burak, Selmin; Karlı, Deniz; Yücekaya, Ahmet; Akpınar, Ersin; Ediger, Volkan Ş.Wastewater treatment is one of the crucial functions of industrial parks as wastewater from industrial facilities usually contains toxic compounds that can cause damage to the environment. To control their environmental loads, industrial parks make investment decisions for wastewater treatment plants. For this, they need to consider technical and economic factors as well as future growth projections as substantial construction and operational costs of wastewater treatment plants have to be shared by all companies in an industrial park. In this paper, we consider the long-term capacity planning problem for wastewater treatment facilities of a stochastically growing industrial park. By explicitly modeling randomness in the arrival of new tenants and their random wastewater discharges, our model calculates the future mean and variance of wastewater flow in the industrial park. Mean and variance are used in a Mixed Integer Programming Model to optimize wastewater treatment plant selection over a long planning horizon (30 years). By fitting our first model to empirical data from an industrial park in Turkey, we find that considering the variance of wastewater load is critical for long-term planning. Also, we quantify the economic significance of lowering wastewater discharges which can be achieved by water recycling or interplant water exchange.
