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  • Yayın
    The economic lot-sizing problem with perishable items and consumption order preference
    (Elsevier Science BV, 2015-08-01) Önal, Mehmet; Romeijn, H. Edwin; Sapra, Amar; Van den Heuvel, Wilco
    We consider the economic lot-sizing problem with perishable items (ELS-PI), where each item has a deterministic expiration date. Although all items in stock are equivalent regardless of procurement or expiration date, we allow for an allocation mechanism that defines an order in which the items are allocated to the consumers. In particular, we consider the following allocation mechanisms: First Expiration, First Out (FEFO), Last Expiration, First Out (LEFO), First In, First Out (FIFO) and Last In, First Out (LIFO). We show that the ELS-PI can be solved in polynomial time under all four allocation mechanisms in case of no procurement capacities. This result still holds in case of time-invariant procurement capacities under the FIFO and LEFO allocation mechanisms, but the problem becomes NP-hard under the FEFO and LIFO allocation mechanisms.
  • Yayın
    A mathematical model for perishable products with price- and displayed-stock-dependent demand
    (Elsevier Ltd, 2016-12) Önal, Mehmet; Yenipazarlı, Arda; Kundakçıoğlu, Ömer Erhun
    We introduce an economic order quantity model that incorporates product assortment, pricing and space-allocation decisions for a group of perishable products. The goal is to maximize the retailer's profit under shelf-space and backroom storage capacity constraints. We assume that the demand rate of a product is a function of the selling prices and the displayed stock levels of all the products in the assortment. We propose a Tabu Search based heuristic method to solve this complex problem.
  • Yayın
    Cost-effective fault diagnosis of a multi-component dynamic system under corrective maintenance
    (Elsevier Ltd, 2021-04) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, Busenur; Aksezer, Sezgin Çağlar
    Maintenance planning and execution are challenging tasks for every system with complex structure. Interdependent nature of the components that builds up the system may have significant effect on system integrity. While preventive maintenance actions can be carried out in a more planned fashion, corrective actions are more time sensitive as they directly affect the availability of the system. This study proposes a cost-effective dynamic Bayesian network modeling scheme to be used in the planning of corrective maintenance actions on systems having hidden components which have stochastic and structural dependencies. In such context, the regenerative air heater system which is a key element of a power plant is taken into consideration. The proposed maintenance framework offers several methods, each aiming to balance the cost with the probability effect using a normalization procedure. The methodologies are extensively simulated for sensitivity analysis under various downtime cost values. Fault effect methods with worst state probability efficiency measures give the least total cost for all downtime cost values and their distinction becomes significant as this value increases. Further statistical analysis concludes that considerable gains on maintenance costs can be achieved by the proposed approach.
  • Yayın
    Failure analysis and warranty modeling of used cars
    (Pergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd, 2011-09) Aksezer, Sezgin Çağlar
    Reliability is an important aspect of product perception and manufacturers are compelled to take corrective actions on the items failing within the warranty period. Automotive manufacturers are being exposed to significant operating costs as a result of warranty claims affecting an individual unit or mandatory (sometimes voluntary) recalls affecting a batch. Underlying principles of warranty modeling are built by considering both subjective issues and objective constraints such as competition, quality, and performance under the goal of achieving desired levels of reliability and cost in a balanced manner. This paper reviews the warranty cost models with an emphasis on the failure analysis of used vehicles. Expected warranty costs are calculated by taking into account the age, usage, and maintenance data of the product in question. Failure intensities and characteristics are identified in order to propose a policy that highlights the trade-off between the cost and the warranty length. A case study on a popular brand's initiation of factory certified pre-owned program for the local automobile market of Turkey is presented in detail. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
  • Yayın
    On the performance of West's bubble test: A simulation approach
    (Elsevier science inc, 2010-12-01) Yüksel, Sadettin Aydın; Akdeniz, Levent; Altay Salih, Aslıhan
    In this research we examine the ability of West's bubble test [1] in detecting speculative bubbles using Brock's (1982) [2] intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset pricing as the basis for a simulation study. In this setting, (1) the economy, by construction is efficient and produces the maximally possible amount of welfare for society, and (2) asset prices reflect the utility-maximizing behavior of consumers and the profit-maximizing behavior of firms. We find that the West's bubble test flag as "bubbles" in the simulated data yet the data is produced from an economy in which markets are efficient in welfare production.
  • Yayın
    Evaluation of proactive maintenance policies on a stochastically dependent hidden multi-component system using DBNs
    (Elsevier Ltd, 2021-07) Özgür Ünlüakın, Demet; Türkali, Busenur
    In complex systems with stochastically dependent components which are not observed directly, determining an effective maintenance policy is a difficult task. In this paper, a dynamic Bayesian network based maintenance decision framework is proposed to evaluate proactive maintenance policies for such systems. Two preventive and one predictive maintenance strategies from a cost perspective are designed for multi-component dependable systems which aim to reduce maintenance cost while increasing system reliability at the same time. Tabu procedure is employed to avoid repetitive similar actions. The performances of the policies are compared with a reactive maintenance strategy and also with each other using different strategy parameters on a real life system confronted in thermal power plants for six different scenarios. The scenarios are designed considering different structures of system dependability and reactive cost. The results show that the threshold based maintenance which is the predictive strategy gives the minimum cost and maintenance number in almost all scenarios.
  • Yayın
    Quarantine region scheme to mitigate spam attacks in wireless sensor networks
    (IEEE, 2006-08) Coşkun, Vedat; Çayırcı, Erdal; Levi, Albert; Sancak, Serdar
    The Quarantine Region Scheme (QRS) is introduced to defend against spam attacks in wireless sensor networks where malicious antinodes frequently generate dummy spam messages to be relayed toward the sink. The aim of the attacker is the exhaustion of the sensor node batteries and the extra delay caused by processing the spam messages. Network-wide message authentication may solve this problem with a cost of cryptographic operations to be performed over all messages. QRS is designed to reduce this cost by applying authentication only whenever and wherever necessary. In QRS, the nodes that detect a nearby spam attack assume themselves to be in a quarantine region. This detection is performed by intermittent authentication checks. Once quarantined, a node continuously applies authentication measures until the spam attack ceases. In the QRS scheme, there is a trade-off between the resilience against spam attacks and the number of authentications. Our experiments show that, in the worst-case scenario that we considered, a not quarantined node catches 80 percent of the spam messages by authenticating only 50 percent of all messages that it processes.