Debating voter defection in Turkey

Basit Öğe Kaydı
dc.authorid0000-0001-6364-4426
dc.authorid0000-0003-1534-8029
dc.authorid0000-0003-4087-168X
dc.contributor.authorBalta, Evrenen_US
dc.contributor.authorDemiralp, Sedaen_US
dc.contributor.authorDemiralp, Selvaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-02T11:30:11Z
dc.date.available2023-05-02T11:30:11Z
dc.date.issued2023-10-20
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, İktisadi, İdari Bilimler ve Sosyal Bilimler Fakültesi, Uluslararası İlişkiler Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Economics, Administrative Sciences and Social Sciences, Department of International Relationsen_US
dc.description.abstractThis study examines patterns of voter defection from Turkey’s incumbent AKP amid major economic and democratic decline. As in other electoral autocracies, defectors constitute a small but politically significant group in Turkey, where the opposition’s ability to secure a transition from authoritarianism depends on reducing the incumbent’s vote share. Based on survey data gathered in November 2021 and February 2022, we find that while the high level of partizanship among AKP voters hinders defection, persistent economic and democratic decline still reduces incumbent support. We also found that defections are higher outside of the lowest income group. Our findings have important implications for opposition strategies in electoral autocracies. Directing public debate away from identity issues to economic and democratic problems increases the likelihood of defection. In addition, offering voters clear superior alternatives decreases the cost of uncertainty that comes with change and increases the likelihood of defection.en_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.identifier.citationBalta, E., Demiralp, S. & Demiralp, S. (2023). Debating voter defection in Turkey. Turkish Studies, 24(5), 739-763. doi:10.1080/14683849.2023.2200941en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/14683849.2023.2200941
dc.identifier.endpage763
dc.identifier.issn1468-3849
dc.identifier.issn1743-9663
dc.identifier.issue5
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85153236958
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage739
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/5533
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14683849.2023.2200941
dc.identifier.volume25
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000973549500001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakSocial Sciences Citation Index (SSCI)en_US
dc.institutionauthorDemiralp, Sedaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0003-1534-8029
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherRoutledgeen_US
dc.relation.ispartofTurkish Studiesen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectEconomic crisisen_US
dc.subjectEconomic votingen_US
dc.subjectPartizanshipen_US
dc.subjectVoter defectionen_US
dc.subjectVoter vulnerabilityen_US
dc.subjectGezi Park Protestsen_US
dc.subjectElectoral successen_US
dc.subjectAKPen_US
dc.subjectTransformationen_US
dc.subjectPolarizationen_US
dc.subjectElectionsen_US
dc.subjectPopulismen_US
dc.subjectPoliticsen_US
dc.subjectJusticeen_US
dc.subjectDeclineen_US
dc.titleDebating voter defection in Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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