Paradox of optimism: opposition coordination against autocratic incumbents in Turkey’s 2019 and 2023 elections

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Küçük Resim

Tarih

2024

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Routledge

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

In the 2019 local and 2023 general elections, Turkey’s opposition parties joined forces in pursuit of a common objective: to oust autocratic incumbents and democratize the political system. While they achieved noteworthy successes in 2019, replicating these gains in the 2023 presidential and parliamentary elections proved elusive. This study reveals that coordinating opposition efforts becomes more challenging during general elections, particularly when a charismatic presidential candidate, capable of fostering synergy among opposition factions and voters, is absent. Additionally, when opposition parties span the ideological spec-trum, crafting a unified campaign around a shared manifesto becomes more intricate. The resulting atmosphere of uncertainty is exacerbated further in the absence of decisive leadership. Most importantly, the research highlights a paradox: as optimism for electoral victory grows, parties become more inclined to form alliances but less willing to nominate a strong leader, due to con-cerns about power-sharing overshadowing electoral success. This paradox diminishes the chances of opposition victory.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Opposition coordination, Authoritarian elections, Turkey, Populism

Kaynak

Southeast European and Black Sea Studies

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

Sayı

Künye

Balta, E. & Demiralp, S. (2024). Paradox of optimism: opposition coordination against autocratic incumbents in Turkey’s 2019 and 2023 elections. Southeast European and Black Sea Studies, 1-21. doi:10.1080/14683857.2024.2338504