Paradox of optimism: opposition coordination against autocratic incumbents in Turkey’s 2019 and 2023 elections

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dc.authorid0000-0001-6364-4426
dc.authorid0000-0003-1534-8029
dc.contributor.authorBalta, Evrenen_US
dc.contributor.authorDemiralp, Sedaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-04-16T15:21:57Z
dc.date.available2024-04-16T15:21:57Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentIşık Üniversitesi, İktisadi, İdari Bilimler ve Sosyal Bilimler Fakültesi, Uluslararası İlişkiler Bölümüen_US
dc.departmentIşık University, Faculty of Economics, Administrative Sciences and Social Sciences, Department of International Relationsen_US
dc.description.abstractIn the 2019 local and 2023 general elections, Turkey’s opposition parties joined forces in pursuit of a common objective: to oust autocratic incumbents and democratize the political system. While they achieved noteworthy successes in 2019, replicating these gains in the 2023 presidential and parliamentary elections proved elusive. This study reveals that coordinating opposition efforts becomes more challenging during general elections, particularly when a charismatic presidential candidate, capable of fostering synergy among opposition factions and voters, is absent. Additionally, when opposition parties span the ideological spec-trum, crafting a unified campaign around a shared manifesto becomes more intricate. The resulting atmosphere of uncertainty is exacerbated further in the absence of decisive leadership. Most importantly, the research highlights a paradox: as optimism for electoral victory grows, parties become more inclined to form alliances but less willing to nominate a strong leader, due to con-cerns about power-sharing overshadowing electoral success. This paradox diminishes the chances of opposition victory.en_US
dc.description.versionPublisher's Versionen_US
dc.identifier.citationBalta, E. & Demiralp, S. (2024). Paradox of optimism: opposition coordination against autocratic incumbents in Turkey’s 2019 and 2023 elections. Southeast European and Black Sea Studies, 1-21. doi:10.1080/14683857.2024.2338504en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/14683857.2024.2338504
dc.identifier.endpage21
dc.identifier.issn1468-3857
dc.identifier.issn1743-9639
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85189965705
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11729/5980
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14683857.2024.2338504
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001197354400001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakSocial Sciences Citation Index (SSCI)en_US
dc.institutionauthorDemiralp, Sedaen_US
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0003-1534-8029
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.peerreviewedYesen_US
dc.publicationstatusPublisheden_US
dc.publisherRoutledgeen_US
dc.relation.ispartofSoutheast European and Black Sea Studiesen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectOpposition coordinationen_US
dc.subjectAuthoritarian electionsen_US
dc.subjectTurkeyen_US
dc.subjectPopulismen_US
dc.titleParadox of optimism: opposition coordination against autocratic incumbents in Turkey’s 2019 and 2023 electionsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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